Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.006189 0.007098 0.008155 0.009489 0.011152 0.013186 0.015910
2026-01-18 0.004998 0.006116 0.007546 0.009562 0.012425 0.016504 0.023087
2026-01-25 0.004214 0.005365 0.006928 0.009298 0.012983 0.018870 0.029942
2026-02-01 0.003621 0.004736 0.006314 0.008834 0.013031 0.020364 0.036074
2026-02-08 0.003180 0.004245 0.005801 0.008391 0.012949 0.021550 0.042288
2026-02-15 0.002963 0.004044 0.005680 0.008529 0.013877 0.024943 0.056038
2026-02-22 0.002716 0.003767 0.005397 0.008337 0.014129 0.027034 0.068400
2026-03-01 0.002492 0.003500 0.005096 0.008055 0.014130 0.028554 0.080768
2026-03-08 0.002313 0.003287 0.004860 0.007851 0.014240 0.030407 0.097001
2026-03-15 0.002234 0.003224 0.004865 0.008101 0.015407 0.035697 0.138464
2026-03-22 0.002178 0.003194 0.004922 0.008460 0.016937 0.043079 0.215280
2026-03-29 0.002136 0.003183 0.005009 0.008895 0.018807 0.053166 0.371764
2026-04-05 0.002026 0.003054 0.004882 0.008886 0.019610 0.060516 0.589787
2026-04-12 0.001928 0.002940 0.004774 0.008909 0.020553 0.069825 1.057658
2026-04-19 0.001812 0.002783 0.004566 0.008667 0.020617 0.075110 1.683998
2026-04-26 0.001688 0.002604 0.004300 0.008247 0.019996 0.076187 2.297334
2026-05-03 0.001577 0.002442 0.004054 0.007844 0.019334 0.076644 3.120536
2026-05-10 0.001528 0.002391 0.004025 0.007970 0.020534 0.090989 11.795638
2026-05-17 0.001455 0.002289 0.003884 0.007794 0.020610 0.097799 41.442873
2026-05-24 0.001380 0.002180 0.003720 0.007538 0.020314 0.101529 213.152444
2026-05-31 0.001317 0.002090 0.003589 0.007352 0.020247 0.107570 NaN
2026-06-07 0.001294 0.002073 0.003612 0.007580 0.021935 0.135110 NaN
2026-06-14 0.001280 0.002072 0.003666 0.007906 0.024231 0.179983 NaN